Problem
- You have an unusual day (concert, outage, trade-fair spike, etc.).
- If you do nothing, PMI Prediction will treat that demand as “normal” next year and the SMART/rooms models will try to repeat it.
Quick fix (what you do today)
Step 1
- Where: Rooms ▸ Live Forecast
- What to do: Find the date. Over-write OTB / Rev / RN with your true expectation
- Why it works: Stamps the day as manual (orange triangle). PMI stops auto-updating it overnight.
Step 2
- Where: Tools ▸ Seasons (same module)
- What to do: Click + Add label. Choose Outliers. Tick the date(s) and Save
- Why it works: Adds the day to the outlier database so the ML model ignores it when learning next year’s pattern.
Step 3
- Where: Sense-check bar (top of Live Forecast)
- What to do: Confirm the red “outlier” icon appears for that day
- Why it works: Visual confirmation the flag is in place.
Step 4
- Where: Save / Send to Forecast
- What to do: Locks the change and pushes it to Cockpits & labour tools
- Why it works: Ensures staffing and cost drivers now follow the corrected forecast.
Tip: If the day is extreme (hotel closed, whole-property buy-out) flag all affected departments, not just Rooms.
What not to do
- You don’t need the Planning (P&L) submission flow just to handle a one-off event.
- Avoid leaving the spike in OTB and “fixing it later” – by then the model has already learned the wrong pattern.
Result: The outlier tag + manual override stop the live model from copying the anomaly into future seasons, and your labour/cockpit numbers stay realistic.
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